Weekly Engine #93

W3 Apr 2026

GM/GN.

In Issue 155 ☕️ Adler AM, I wrote that after the spring stress, pressure from short-term holders had eased noticeably and the market recovery was continuing. Price has now moved right up to the STH cost basis. The main trigger for further improvement is BTC establishing itself above the short-term cost basis at $83K. Only after that will it become clear how strong the selling pressure from STH will be and whether it can push the market back down.

On the chart, I also highlighted how the recovery unfolded in April 2022 and how it ultimately ended. Of course, no one can guarantee that history will repeat itself. It is also important to note that the previous collapse was triggered by the breakdown of the Luna ecosystem, so the nature of the shock was different. But one conclusion remains obvious - there will be plenty of participants looking to get out at breakeven in this zone.

This week, we launched the Bitcoin Analysis Framework - a 3-layer data framework that helps read the market as a unified decision-making system. In essence, it is a much simpler version of Weekly Engine.

The Framework separates signals into structural, tactical, and trigger, so you can immediately understand where the market is in the cycle, whether there is pressure right now, and whether the market is confirming the current move. Instead of analyzing a dozen metrics, you get a clear logic for reading charts, the correct order for interpreting signals, and a clearer picture of what is actually happening in the market. We will continue the detailed breakdown of the Framework in the educational issues of Adler Education.

Live charts and data are available on my personal website via this link.

Also this week, two minor updates were released for the terminal. First, we improved the Global Risk On/Off algorithm, and we also refined the data interpretation and AI conclusions inside the terminal itself. Next week, we are also planning one more small update. Thanks to everyone who sends in suggestions - my DM is open.

If the Risk On/Off dashboard feels too complex, you can focus only on the right side of the terminal - LIVE NOW + AI ANALYSIS. Everything else can be viewed as the details that build the final conclusion about the current market regime.

🚨 Breaking: At the White House Correspondents’ Dinner at the Washington Hilton, a shooting occurred near the screening area - Donald Trump, Melania Trump, and J.D. Vance were urgently evacuated, one staff member was hit in the body armor, and the suspect was detained.

Next comes the week’s resolution. Weekly Engine will go through all 7 layers and show whether the balance of forces has shifted compared to last week or whether the market remains in the same position. We will break down where the market started to show weakness, which parts of the structure held up, and what overall conclusion emerges from that.