Bitcoin Trends – W1 June 2025

Bitcoin in local correction: corporate sector accumulates coins, momentum cooling, exchange outflows keep price above $100K. What to expect next week?

TL;DR:

Cooling of BTC bullish momentum after new ATH, impact of weakening inflation and tariff risks on macro backdrop, new corporate purchases, sustained coin outflows from exchanges, hashrate growth, as well as sideways scenarios $103–110K with key triggers for range breakout.

Macroeconomics from the past week

Priority: High

1. PCE Price Index Forecast (April 2025): +0.1% m/m

   Conclusion: Expected moderate acceleration of core inflation (PCE excluding food and energy) to +0.1% m/m indicates declining price pressure in March, but persistent risks for the Fed: annual PCE inflation is projected to slow to 2.2% (7-month low), while core inflation drops to 2.5% (lowest since March 2021). This will strengthen arguments for cautious monetary policy easing advocates.

2. Initial Q1 2025 US GDP Revision: –0.2% y/y (instead of –0.3%)

   Conclusion: The downward revision of GDP contraction was less deep than previously thought, largely due to stronger-than-expected growth in fixed capital investment (+7.8%) and…