Cohort MVRV Framework

SQL of the Week 012

What is it

The Cohort MVRV Framework is a system that combines the analysis of two cohorts (STH and LTH) with a stress thermometer to create a comprehensive assessment of the market regime.

It is a decision-making framework, not an indicator. It outputs:

• Risk Score (1-5) - how dangerous the current zone is

• Opportunity Score (1-5) - expected risk/reward asymmetry

• Edge Grade (A/B/C/X) - signal quality

• Action Signal - recommended action

The framework integrates STH MVRV, LTH MVRV, and Thermometer Regime into a single system validated on out-of-sample data.

Output Structure